Posts in Policy Action
Trouble Has Horns to Hold: Preventing Mass Atrocities in Northern Ethiopia

This atrocity risk assessment, authored by Ethiopian and American atrocity prevention experts, analyzes worst-case but high probability scenarios in northern Ethiopia, including Tigray and its borderlands with Eritrea, Afar, and Amhara. If these scenarios occur, they will likely precipitate mass violence against civilians while also causing a widespread regional crisis. It also identifies central risk factors, key actors, triggers, and resiliencies that could affect the course of conflict.

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PPWG: Atrocity Risk Assessment: South Sudan

This assessment explores risks of mass atrocities in South Sudan due to increasing violence, the detention of senior officials, lagging progress in the implementation of the Revitalized Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in South Sudan (R-ARCSS) of 2018, and regional spillover from the violent conflict in Sudan. Compounding these drastically deteriorating conditions, South Sudan’s first elections since independence, originally scheduled for December 2024, have been postponed until December 2026. This assessment identifies plausible atrocity scenarios, key indicators to monitor, and recommended prevention and response options for the United States Government and the international community.

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The Alliance for Peacebuilding's Briefing Book for the 119th Congress

The Alliance for Peacebuilding (AfP), a network of 235+ organizations working to prevent violent conflict and build sustainable peace in 181 countries, recognizes that these are extraordinary times with significant cuts to U.S. foreign aid. AfP has long been a proponent of reforming diplomacy and foreign assistance, and championed major innovations through laws such as the Global Fragility Act (GFA). In rebuilding the U.S. foreign policy and assistance aperture, Congress must advance reform-focused laws that prioritize and integrate conflict prevention and peacebuilding, like the GFA, become centered to ensure the U.S. is safer, stronger, and more prosperous. We urge the 119th Congress to robustly fund, champion, and provide oversight of key peacebuilding and prevention laws and accounts and ensure conflict prevention expertise is retained at the Department of State.

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